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SADC Climate Outlook Highlights Erratic Rainfall

31 January 2012: The Southern African Development Community (SADC) has released a Climate Outlook for the period February - April 2012, which outlines the climate outlook aggregated from available models. It highlights that SADC Member countries have experienced erratic rainfall distribution and that this trends is expected to increase.

On the eastern and south-eastern areas of the SADC region, which includes Tanzania, Malawi, Swaziland and Lesotho, it notes that this region will experience normal to above-normal rainfall patterns. On the northern and western areas of the SADC region, which includes Angola, Zambia, Botswana and Namibia, the climate outlook highlights that the region will experience average to below average rainfalls during the three-month period. It also expects that La Niña conditions are expected to prevail during most of the southern summer, with conditions beginning to dissipate from March through to May.

On the current tropical cyclone season, the outlook emphasizes that the current season has been quite active, and predicts that is likely to continue along the eastern seaboard of the SADC region as well as Madagascar and Mauritius. It stresses that indirect effects due to the cyclone activity as being extensive, with some distant regions experiencing excessive dryness. [SADC Outlook Issue nº4]